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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
ИЗЧЕРПАН
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
Автор: Nate Silver
Година на издаване: 2013
Език: Английски
Корица: Paperback
Страници: 544
Издател/Прозиводител:PENGUIN BOOKS
ISBN/Barcode:9780141975658
Код:0240.00798
Размери: 0.38 kg ( 20 cm x 13 cm )
  • ИЗЧЕРПАН
   3.97  (1751 ratings by Goodreads)
19.90 лв.
Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

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